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Showing posts with label tdg. Show all posts
Showing posts with label tdg. Show all posts

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Christmas Sell-Off?


I think the market will be down at the end of this week. The factors that play into my thought process are year end taxable events, market still recovering from only a 0.25 rate cut, and people closing out positions to lock in year-end gains for themselves and/or stakeholders. There are a few sectors, which I think will be weaker in the near future, so I will keep an eye out for some weakness on Diana Shipping (DSX) and Dryships INC (DRYS). I will also look to short or pick up some puts on Transdigm Group (TDG).

Monday, December 10, 2007

Analyst Reversal


Last week it seemed like every analyst on Wall St was leaning towards a .50 basis point rate cut. Today, I am hearing a more relaxed version and the consensus seems to be registering a conservative .25 basis point rate cut. This may end up catching some people off-guard who were making moves specifically on the upcoming Fed decision. Most people will shy away from making any big decisions prior to the Fed announcement, however there could be big rewards for those who are willing to stick their neck out on some investments. I personally will fall somewhere in the middle. I will be tracking many stocks, but will not overextend myself unless something huge falls into my wheelhouse. There are a few general stocks I will be watching both long/short, but will focus quite a bit on some of the wireless/telecom service providers. These are not endorsements to go out and purchase just "showing my hand" a bit. I currently do not have a position in any of the listed stocks.


General

Life Cell Corp (LIFC) - Long

ABB (ABB) - Long

Agrium (AGU) - Long

Sterlite India (SLT) - Long

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - Long

Transdigm Group (TDG) - Looking to short/buy puts

Blue Coat System (BCSI) - Looking to short/buy puts



Telecom

Vimpel (VIP) - Watchlist

Mobile Telesys (MBT) - Watchlist

Chinal Mobile (CHL) - Watchlist

Turkcell Iletisim (TKC) - Watchlist